College FBSat 7:30 PMIllustrative
CPRCopper RidgeatBYTBayside Tech
SpreadCopper Ridge +2.5
−110LINE probability56.0%
Market implied52.4%
Edge+3.6 ptsEst. EV+6.9%
Sportsbook C · quoted 3 min ago · example, not a live price
How it works
From the odds to your edge.
CMOS calculates the probability. LINE sets it beside the price and shows you how big the gap is, and whether to trust it.
Pick your sports
Follow one sport or all of them. Your home screen, alerts and favorites follow your picks.
See the numbers
Every game: LINE’s win probability, the projected score and the odds, side by side, with the edge called out.
Make your call
Start with today’s Top Bets, dig into any matchup, then bet your way, with better information.
Step 1 · Translate the price
Every price is a probability.
Odds tell you the payout. LINE converts them into the win rate you need to break even, so you can compare them with LINE’s own number.
Negative odds: odds ÷ (odds + 100). Positive odds: 100 ÷ (odds + 100). The implied probability includes the sportsbook’s cut.
| Odds | Implied probability | How |
|---|---|---|
| −110 | 52.4% | 110 ÷ (110 + 100) |
| +150 | 40.0% | 100 ÷ (150 + 100) |
| −200 | 66.7% | 200 ÷ (200 + 100) |
Step 2 · Calculate
CMOS sets the probability.
CMOS, LINE’s proprietary prediction engine, rates every NFL offense and defense by points per play, adjusted for the opponent, home field and the starting quarterback. Official picks lock 30 minutes before kickoff, with a fingerprint that proves they weren’t changed.
College football and basketball forecasts run on licensed college data. They’re saved before every game and graded, and labeled research while they build a track record.
Step 3 · Compare
Two numbers, two jobs.
Edge is how far LINE’s probability is from the market’s. Expected value is what that gap is worth at the price on offer.
Edge · percentage points
+2.6pts
How far LINE’s probability sits above the one the odds imply.
55.0% − 52.4% = +2.6 pts
Expected value · percent
+5.0%per $1
What each dollar returns on average if LINE’s probability is right, at the actual payout: −110 pays $0.909 profit per $1.
0.550 × 0.909 − 0.450 = +5.0%
Example: HAR +3.5 at −110 with a LINE probability of 55.0% (fictional game). A positive expected value still loses often in the short run; it pays off only over many bets, and only if the probability is right.
Step 4 · Rank
The biggest edges rise to the top.
Every game day, CMOS scores every market in the sports you follow. The biggest edges go to the top of the app as Today’s Top Bets.
An edge is a probability, not a promise: Top Bets still lose sometimes, so bet what you can afford.
Today in the LINE app
Top Bets, every game day
Every day there are games, CMOS scores every market in your sports and LINE puts the biggest edges at the top of the app. Your Top Bets are waiting when you open it.
- Ranked by edgeWhere LINE’s probability beats the odds by the most.
- Across your sportsNFL, college football, college basketball and every sport as it launches.
- The full pictureThe price, LINE’s probability, the edge and expected value on every pick.